Tuesday, April 20, 2010
walterfootball.com matt mcguire
Buffalo Bills: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame This is Buffalo's most important draft pick since the team took Bruce Smith with the No. 1 selection in the 1985 NFL Draft. The Bills have a chance to finally exit NFL purgatory if Jimmy Clausen falls to them at No. 9. If the Bills takes Clausen, they will be a playoff contender by 2011. If they pass on Clausen, they will continue to draft in the top 12. That's how crucial this pick is. The question is: "Will Buffalo draft Clausen to be its franchise quarterback?" I say yes. Now, there's a chance the Bills will pick Dan Williams or someone else instead; if numerous franchises were dumb enough to pass on Aaron Rodgers five years ago, Buffalo is certainly capable of making a similar error. But in the end, I think Buddy Nix is smart guy and will make the right decision. He was part of a Chargers organization that obtained Philip Rivers in the 2004 NFL Draft. Nix knows what he's doing. He said he's looking for a strong-armed quarterback to combat the Orchard Park winds, so Clausen fits that description. Also, don't forget, New Regimes Mean New Quarterbacks. Some links of note: our exclusive Jimmy Clausen interview and an article called Jimmy Clausen is an Alien Wizard, which discusses why the hatred and bias against Clausen is completely unfounded. Also: Jimmy Clausen vs. Sam Bradford: Tale of the Tape, which dissects the two signal-callers looking at 21 different attributes. My USA Today Jimmy Clausen article is also out. You can find it in USA Today's NFL Draft magazine, which can be picked up in most bookstores and news stands (there's a picture of Eric Berry on the front cover). Other 2010 NFL Draft Possibilities: 1. Trent Williams or Bryan Bulaga, OT - If the Seahawks take Eric Berry, Buffalo will have a chance to draft a left tackle. Do they really love Tim Tebow enough to pass on JImmy Clausen? Buddy Nix knows what he's doing, so I have my doubts. 2. Dan Williams, NT - The Bills are moving to the 3-4, but have nothing to speak of at nose tackle. Again, if Nix loves Tebow enough to pass on Clausen, Dan Williams could be the pick.
Monday, April 19, 2010
Friday, April 9, 2010
walterfootball.com mock, updated 4/9, buffalo bills #9
9. Buffalo Bills: Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame This is Buffalo's most important draft pick since the team took Bruce Smith with the No. 1 selection in the 1985 NFL Draft. The Bills have a chance to finally exit the NFL's catacombs if Jimmy Clausen falls to them at No. 9. If the Bills takes Clausen, they will be a playoff contender by 2011. If they pass on Clausen, they will continue to draft in the top 12. That's how crucial this pick is. The question is: "Will Buffalo draft Clausen to be its franchise quarterback?" I say yes. Now, there's a chance the Bills will draft Dan Williams or someone else instead; if the Dolphins and other franchises were dumb to pass on Aaron Rodgers five years ago, Buffalo is certainly capable of making a similar error. But in the end, I think Buddy Nix is smarter than the Randy Mueller-Cam Cameron combination (who isn't?) and will make the right decision. Nix said he's looking for a strong-armed quarterback to combat the Orchard Park winds, so Clausen fits that description. Also, don't forget, New Regimes Mean New Quarterbacks. Some links of note: our exclusive Jimmy Clausen interview and an article called Jimmy Clausen is an Alien Wizard, which discusses why the hatred and bias against Clausen is completely unfounded. My USA Today Jimmy Clausen article is also out. You can find it in USA Today's NFL Draft magazine, which can be picked up in most bookstores and news stands (there's a picture of Eric Berry on the front cover). Other 2010 NFL Draft Possibilities:
1. Trent Williams, OT - If the Seahawks take Eric Berry, Buffalo will have a chance to draft a left tackle. And if the Browns take Jimmy Clausen, Trent Williams is the no-brainer selection.
2. Dan Williams, NT - The Bills are moving to the 3-4, but have nothing to speak of at nose tackle. I personally think No. 9 is a bit high for Dan Williams, but there's a small chance Buffalo may not be able to acquire Williams, Terrence Cody or even Cam Thomas in Round 2. This might be their only chance to obtain a stud nose tackle.
1. Trent Williams, OT - If the Seahawks take Eric Berry, Buffalo will have a chance to draft a left tackle. And if the Browns take Jimmy Clausen, Trent Williams is the no-brainer selection.
2. Dan Williams, NT - The Bills are moving to the 3-4, but have nothing to speak of at nose tackle. I personally think No. 9 is a bit high for Dan Williams, but there's a small chance Buffalo may not be able to acquire Williams, Terrence Cody or even Cam Thomas in Round 2. This might be their only chance to obtain a stud nose tackle.
Friday, April 2, 2010
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
updated two round mock
Round One
1. STL QB Sam Bradford, Oklahoma – The Rams will either trade down (Browns? ‘Skins?), or take Bradford. Unless the St. Louis trades for McNabb AND cannot find a trading partner, the former Sooner will be their pick.
2. DET OT Russell Okung, Oklahoma St. – Matthew Stafford, the face of the Lions franchise, made great strides last year but took one heck of a pounding (ever broke a collar bone). With the money already invested in the D-line this off-season and the need to protect their signal-caller, I think Detroit takes the top available tackle.
3. TB DT Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska – Arguably the best available prospect in this years class, Suh fills a need and offers great value after “falling” to third. Mark Dominik will waste little time making this pick and Suh probably won’t disappoint. Expect Suh to line up all over the field, creating mismatches and wreaking havoc in opponents’ backfields.
4. WSH QB Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame – It has been years since there has been a quarterback as well prepared to immediately get under center for an NFL team. Question marks surround Clausen’s persona, but what quarterback isn’t a little arrogant? This kid is a gamer, who is at his best when the game is on the line and the numbers back it up. Clausen made enormous strides in each of his three years at ND, despite playing on bad teams with limited talent around him.
5. KC NT Dan Williams, Tennessee – I’ve been saying for weeks that Dan Williams and probably T. Cody will end up moving up the boards, as more of a premium is being placed on the multi-gap space-eaters. With half of the league now employing a 3-4, the value of effective NT’s will skyrocket (ie. Wilfork, Pickett, A. Franklin). Scott Pioli will be thrilled to drop Williams into the middle of their 3-4 for the next 10+ years. Beware; Williams was a “one year wonder.”
6. SEA DT Gerald McCoy, Oklahoma – I feel as though this selection will come down to two former Sooners: McCoy and OT Trent Williams. Pete Carroll needs to fill a huge hole at LT, but many of the top draft “experts” project Williams as a better RT in the NFL. For that reason, and the fact that the interior of the ‘Hawks D-line is terrible, McCoy is the pick, and probably a steal at number six.
7. CLE S Eric Berry, Tennessee – Berry is an instant starter on all but a handful of NFL teams. His instincts, playmaking ability and speed make him a valuable asset, regardless of defensive scheme. I am tempted to label Berry as simply a “DB” or even “ATH” due to his versatility. Berry is as disruptive against the run as he is the pass and has the ability to cover RB/TE/WR anywhere on the field. An All-Pro for years to come and a huge value at number seven.
8. OAK OT Trent Williams, Oklahoma – I know, I know. It seems crazy, but Al Davis might actually ignore the “measurables” and draft based on need and value rather than how a prospect performs at the Underwear Olympics. Look for Davis to reach for someone like Maryland OT Bruce Campbell, DE/OLB Jason Pierre-Paul or even OK St. WR Dez Bryant or Clemson RB CJ Spiller. The selection of Williams will allow for some further development (or maybe I should say any development at all) out of Jamarcus “Free Willy” Russell and Darren “Run DMC” McFadden.
9. BUF OT Brian Bulaga, Iowa – Buddy Nix may very well stay true to his board and take the best available player here, which could be Spiller, but I really think he will get a terrific combination of value/need out of Bulaga. Outside of Okung, I see Bulaga as the best LT available in the draft and the Bills are fortunate to land him at number nine. I think the Bills primary goal will be to trade down and acquire additional picks, but if they can’t find a partner, the former Hawkeye will be a fantastic consolation prize.
10. JAX CB Joe Haden, Florida – After improving his forty yard dash time at his pro day, Haden solidified his stock as the top corner available. The former Gator should be a steal at this point, the last of the top-ten selections. Will likely start opposite Rashean Mathis from day one. Any team thinking of contending in the AFC South is going to have to stop the Colts aerial attack first.
11. DEN ILB Rolando McClain, Alabama – It’s easy to see why the Broncos will avoid Dez Bryant, considering the issues Brandon Marshall has caused. Josh McDaniels would like to add a perimeter weapon here, but there isn’t one worth considering (outside of Bryant). The makeover of the Broncos front seven continues with 2010’s most NFL-ready linebacker. McClain will step in and start from day one, as Nick Saban has prepared him to dominate on the inside of the 3-4.
12. MIA S Earl Thomas, Texas – Bill Parcells recognizes the need to upgrade the safety position, especially after releasing Gibril Wilson. Thomas is a playmaking safety who fills well in the run game and has a nose for the ball in pass coverage. Thomas added a little bulk during the pre-draft process in an effort to answer questions about his strength/toughness, but the tape doesn’t lie – Thomas is a monster and will play in several Pro-Bowls.
13. SF OT Anthony Davis, Rutgers – Prior to the combine/pro-days, Davis was considered a close second to Okung when listing 2010’s top OT’s. After skipping out on Rutgers pro-day, questions surround the massive former Scarlet Knight. If he can keep his weight down and his head on straight, you may be looking at the next Walter Jones.
14. SEA RB CJ Spiller, Clemson – While slightly undersized, Spiller possesses a great combination of speed/strength (4.28/19 reps). Spiller is equally adept at Running, catching and returning, making him the top all-around offensive threat in this year’s draft. Seattle is fortunate he falls this far and sprints to the commissioner after the 49ers pass on him.
15. NYG LB Sean Weatherspoon, Missouri – The Giants are in need of a linebacker since they released Antonio Pierce. ‘Spoon can play inside or outside in the 4-3 and is just as good in coverage as he is against the run. He’s not going to get to the quarterback very often, but he will make a few All-Pro teams. The former Tiger will bring toughness, versatility and stability to the middle of the NYG defense
16. TEN DE Derrick Morgan, Georgia Tech – Titans coach Jeff Fisher is thrilled the drafts top DE has fallen this far. Morgan is a polished, relentless edge rusher, who could probably play OLB in a 3-4, if necessary. The Titans front seven needs help, especially after the loss of KVB to the Lions as a free-agent.
17. SF CB Kyle Wilson, Boise St. – Wilson’s strong pro-day solidified him as the second-best corner in this years draft. The former Bronco has the tools to be a great cover corner and doubles as a top-flight return man. “Playmaker” Clements has been largely a disappointment since arriving as the top-paid defensive player ever (at least at the time), and Singletary will add some help in the secondary to assist a terrific front seven.
18. PIT G/OT Mike Iupati, Idaho – I will continue to mock Iupati to the Steelers. He is exactly what Pittsburg needs and more importantly what it wants in an offensive lineman. I could certainly see G/C Maurkice Pouncey from Florida going here too.
19. ATL DE Jason Pierre-Paul, South Florida – I think Pierre-Paul has the highest bust potential of anyone in the draft. Atlanta could certainly fill a need with this selection, but they are without a second round selection (to KC for T. Gonzo.) so if they don’t like what remains on the board, they may look to trade-down.
20. HOU S Taylor Mays, Southern Cal – Probably the second-high bust potential in this years class, the former Trojan could also end up being a steal at number 20. His freakish athleticism makes him a great candidate to land in Houston’s secondary, which lost its top player (Dunta Robinson) to free-agency. Gary Kubiak would ideally land a corner in this slot, but without a player at that position of value, he may look to trade-down.
21. CIN DT Jared Odrick, Penn St. – Even with the re-signing of Tank Johnson, Marvin Lewis knows he needs an upgrade on the interior of the defensive line. The Bengals have athletic DEs and great CBs, strengthening the middle of the defense will improve the teams run defense. A perimeter weapon like WR Dez Bryant or TE Jermaine Gresham may also be considered.
22. NE OLB Brandon Graham, Michigan – It seems like Graham played his entire college career in his opponent’s backfield. He is fast off the snap and plays with an endless motor. Graham’s stock has continued to climb, as he has built upon a great season and Senior Bowl. Expect him to enjoy success in a role similar to that of Elvis Dumervil. Can also play DE in a 4-3 scheme, as well. The former Wolverine is a great football player with unlimited upside due to his versatility.
23. GB CB Kareem Jackson, Alabama – Another former Nick Saban player who is ready to come in and contribute defensively. Jackson is a bit on the small side, but has great speed and strength. The time he spent covering SEC wide-outs has prepared him well for the chance to step into the Green Bay secondary, which was humiliated last season in the NFC Playoffs.
24. PHI DE Carlos Dunlap, Florida – Dunlap has some of the best production, game-film and “measurables” in the draft. He is here for Philly at number 24 because of some off-field issues which have lead to concerns about his maturity and focus. If he will dedicate himself he’ll be a great player, capable of defending the run and the pass equally well. If not, he could be out of the league within a few years.
25. BAL WR Dez Bryant, Oklahoma St. – If not for concerns surrounding his maturity/character, Bryant would have been a top-5 selection. Considering that and the fact that he hasn’t played in a while and has added some pounds, Bryant falls into the Ravens laps. This is a team with some question marks defensively, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Ed Reed, but a value like this is too good to pass up. Joe Flacco is thrilled and Anquan Boldin will have a strong target opposite him. Baltimore has the locker room leadership to handle him and hopefully straighten him out.
26. AZ OLB Sergio Kindle, Texas - I continue to read that Miami is enamored with Kindle, but I refuse to think he will be drafted at number 12. Ken Wisenhunt is thrilled the super-athletic former Longhorn is available, as he will combine with the old, overrated Joey Porter to pressure Cardinal opponents off the edge. OT Charles Brown is also an option here, as is G/C Maurkice Pouncey.
27. DAL G/C Maurkice Pouncey, Florida – Due to his strength, versatility and high football IQ, the former Gator is being compared to NYJ C Nick Mangold. One of the best Center prospects to come along in a while, Pouncey could go as high as number 18 (Pitt). Considered a very safe pick.
28. SD RB Ryan Matthews, Fresno St. – Outside of Spiller, Matthews is the most balanced back in this class. His combination of size/speed is something the Bolts backfield needs, after releasing Tomlinson. Will be a more than adequate compliment to Sproles behind Philip Rivers.
29. NYJ OLB Jerry Hughes, TCU – Another Elvis Dumervil-type, Hughes is a slightly smaller version of Brandon Graham. His high motor and 4.63 speed will allow him to come off the edge for Rex Ryan’s defensive unit. Rushing the passer is an area the Jets must improve if they plan to stay among the league’s elite defenses.
30. MIN DT Brian Price, UCLA – The Williams Wall is facing possible suspensions, and Pat Williams considers retirement after every season. Price will provide depth until given the chance to collapse the pocket on a full-time basis after Pat walks away.
31. IND OT Charles Brown, Southern Cal – Brown is a technically-sound, finesse tackle who struggles at times with power rushers. He would, however, be an upgrade along the offensive front for the Colts, whose offensive line Bill Polian called out after the Super Bowl.
32. NO DE Everson Griffen, Southern Cal – After releasing Charles Grant, the Saints are in need of someone who can bring heat off the edge. Griffen can do just that, and has the athleticism to play in space, something Gregg Williams will ask him to do in zone-blitz packages. If he can remain motivated, the former Trojan can dominate.
Round Two
33. STL WR Arrelious Benn, Illinois – The Rams could go in a number of directions here, and I suspect they will be getting a lot of calls before Friday’s second round starts from teams looking to grab someone they covet. In this case, however, I don’t think the Rams can pass up taking a weapon for their young signal caller (Bradford). This pick could be Benn or WR Golden Tate, neither selection would surprise me.
34. DET WR Golden Tate, Notre Dame – I think Tate and Benn will fall out of the first round but will be targeted early in round two by a number of teams. Here, though, with the Rams and Lions both having young QBs and needing to add weapons for them, these two talented WRs go off the board with the first two picks.
35. TB CB Devin McCourty, Rutgers – Ronde Barber is old and his play has been in decline. McCourty has first round talent and potential but a lack of consistency leads to a slide out of the first round. Tampa is thrilled he’s available as he fills a need and is a great value at number 35.
36. KC TE Jermaine Gresham, Oklahoma – The Chiefs have an opportunity to get the draft’s premier TE in Gresham, and are elated he’s available at number 36. After dealing Tony Gonzalez to ATL last year, the Chiefs can get another 12-15 year starter in the former Sooner.
37. WSH OT Bruce Campbell, Maryland – A freakish athlete, Campbell’s production never lived up to him immense hype and “measurables.” If he gets past the Raiders, who have the eighth pick, but who knows for how long, he could tumble into the second frame.
38. CLV QB Colt McCoy, Texas – All Colt McCoy does: win. The former Longhorn leaves Mack Brown’s program as major college football’s all-time wins leader. His ability to run the west coast offense along with his mobility have the Dog pound salivating.
39. OAK WR DeMaryius Thomas, Georgia Tech – Al Davis can’t go back-to-back picks without falling in love with some freakish athlete. Thomas fits that bill, and should make life easier for whichever QB is throwing the rock for Raider Nation next year.
40. SD NT Terrence Cody, Alabama – The key to the Charlie Whitehurst deal with Seattle was to get in front of the Bills in the second round to get Mt. Cody. AJ Smith is hoping the Chiefs take Dan Williams in the first so they won’t target Cody with the 36th selection.
41. BUF NT Cam Thomas, UNC – The Bills are undoubtedly hoping Cody falls here, but the chances of that occurring are slim. Thomas has as much ability as any NT in this draft and could fill a massive hole in the middle of the Bills’ new 3-4 scheme. Dexter McCluster will reportedly get some consideration at this spot.
42. TB LB Daryl Washington, TCU – Washington will step right into the starting lineup for a Bucs front seven that was one of the worst in the entire NFL last season. A high motor player, the former Horned Frog will bring an identity to a linebacking corp that needs one.
43. MIA RB Jahvid Best, Cal – Best is an exceptional talent with game-breaking ability. Some durability concerns surround his draft stock, though, so an ideal situation would be going to a team where he can share the load. With Ricky Williams getting up there in age and RFA Ronnie Brown’s recent arrest, the time is right for the ‘Fins to bring some youth to their backfield.
44. NE CB Patrick Robinson, Florida St. – With their first of three picks in the second stanza, the Pats get Robinson, a corner with first round ability but lacks consistency in his game. New England’s secondary needs some work and adding a player of Robinson’s caliber cannot be passed-up.
45. DEN WR Damian Williams, Southern Cal – After passing on Dez Bryant in the first round, Denver must come back with a perimeter weapon in the second round. With their top WR unhappy and available in trade and TE Tony Scheffler seeking a new contract, McDaniels must find playmakers for Orton/Quinn.
46. NYG DE Ricky Sapp, Clemson – An amazing athlete, Sapp may come off the board earlier than this, but Coughlin is glad he’s available at this spot. Another player to provide pressure on opposition QBs.
47. NE TE Rob Gronkowski, Arizona – At 6’6”, 265 lbs. Gronkowski ran a 4.65 forty yard dash at his pro-day. An improving blocker, Gronkowski has the pass-catching skills of Jason Witten and assuming his back checks out, he could be drafted higher than this. According to the official numbers, Gronkowski is bigger, stronger and faster than Jermaine Gresham.
48. CAR OLB Dekota Watson, Florida St. – After a strong combine and stronger pro day, Watson is quickly rising up the draft boards and may even be gone by the time pick number 48 rolls around. If not, the Panthers are thrilled he’s available because their defense needs playmakers on the edge, especially considering the loss of Julius Peppers via free agency.
49. SF RB Ben Tate, Auburn – Although Glen Cofee filled in admirably when Frank Gore went down with injury, he averaged below 4.0/carry. Tate is a fast, powerful runner who has the ability to return kicks as well.
50. KC OLB Jason Worilds, Virginia Tech – The Chiefs need to upgrade their pass rush. After getting the anchor for their 3-4 in round one, they get an edge rusher with their second selection of the second round.
51. HOU RB Jonathan Dwyer, Georgia Tech – Everyone knows the Texans are not convinced Steve Slaton can carry the load as a primary ball carrier in the NFL. In Dwyer, Houston gets a powerful runner with good straight-line speed who likes going north and south.
52. PIT CB Perrish Cox, Oklahoma St. – There are more corners in this draft that have first round ability but lack the consistency to warrant a high selection. The trend continues here with the former Cowboy. Cox has the size and speed, if Tomlin can get him to reach his potential, the Steelers will have stolen him at the 52nd pick.
53. NE WR Brandon LaFell, LSU – After re-stocking the shelves on the defensive side of the ball, the Pats use their final pick of the second stanza on the big, fluid, sure-handed former Tiger. LaFell isn’t very fast, but he’s a big, reliable target.
54. CIN TE Aaron Hernandez, Florida – Hernandez isn’t much of a run-blocker, but that’s not why the Bengals want him. Carson Palmer needs to return to his pre-elbow surgery form and a solid target in the middle of the field helps make that possible.
55. PHI RB Dexter McCluster, Mississippi – Although the Eagles are pleased with the development of LeSean McCoy, they lost Brian Westbrook. Assuming Kevin Kolb starts the season under center, they’re going to want some reinforcements in the backfield. Mike Bell is a nice addition but doesn’t present nearly the match up problems the speedy former Rebel does. McCluster can also help in the return game.
56. GB OLB Navorro Bowman, Penn St. – The Pack plugged a rookie into one starting OLB spot last season, and after losing Aaron Kampman, they will try doing the same thing this season. The reconstruction of the Packers defense continues with the addition of the athletic former Lion.
57. BAL DE/DT Alex Carrington, Arkansas St. – Carrington is a small school prospect that is flying up the draft boards. After strong showings throughout the pre-draft process, the versatile defensive lineman may even get a look before this spot.
58. AZ OT Vladimir Ducasse, Massachusetts – With the loss of Mike Gandy, the Cards are in need of help along the offensive line. If Leinart wins the job and Brown moves to the LT position, Ducasse could be the blind-side protector in the dessert from day one.
59. DAL S Nate Allen, South Florida – Allen is the play-making safety the Cowboys have been searching for. He plays the pass and run equally well and shows he knows how to make big plays in the passing game. Allen could be drafted soon that this, but Dallas is thrill to have him available here.
60. SEA OT Jared Veldheer, Hillsdale – Upgrading along the offensive line is a priority coming into draft day, but value trumped need in the first round. Here, however, the Seahawks get both. Veldheer appears ready to make the jump to the NFL, and his transition will be eased by his mean streak.
61. NYJ NT Linval Joseph, East Carolina – Another Big, Space-eating NT, someone will probably reach for Joseph as you see here, because of the premium placed on his position. Kris Jenkins replacement is on-board.
62. MIN C JD Walton, Baylor – The C/RG positions struggled for the Vikings last year. Walton is the second best center in this class and can play guard if needed.
63. IND WR Mardy Gilyard, Cincinnati – Gilyard may be a luxury pick here, but he represents great value. With the uncertainty surrounding Anthony Gonzalez, the Colts bring in an exciting player that can help in the return game while learning how to be a pro from Reggie Wayne and Peyton Manning.
64. NO DE/DT Geno Atkins, Georgia – After beating up on Mike Iupati during the Senior Bowl week, Atkins raised some eyebrows with an impressive 4.75 forty yard dash. At 6’1” and just shy of 300 lbs, Atkins would fit well into what Gregg Williams does defensively.
1. STL QB Sam Bradford, Oklahoma – The Rams will either trade down (Browns? ‘Skins?), or take Bradford. Unless the St. Louis trades for McNabb AND cannot find a trading partner, the former Sooner will be their pick.
2. DET OT Russell Okung, Oklahoma St. – Matthew Stafford, the face of the Lions franchise, made great strides last year but took one heck of a pounding (ever broke a collar bone). With the money already invested in the D-line this off-season and the need to protect their signal-caller, I think Detroit takes the top available tackle.
3. TB DT Ndamukong Suh, Nebraska – Arguably the best available prospect in this years class, Suh fills a need and offers great value after “falling” to third. Mark Dominik will waste little time making this pick and Suh probably won’t disappoint. Expect Suh to line up all over the field, creating mismatches and wreaking havoc in opponents’ backfields.
4. WSH QB Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame – It has been years since there has been a quarterback as well prepared to immediately get under center for an NFL team. Question marks surround Clausen’s persona, but what quarterback isn’t a little arrogant? This kid is a gamer, who is at his best when the game is on the line and the numbers back it up. Clausen made enormous strides in each of his three years at ND, despite playing on bad teams with limited talent around him.
5. KC NT Dan Williams, Tennessee – I’ve been saying for weeks that Dan Williams and probably T. Cody will end up moving up the boards, as more of a premium is being placed on the multi-gap space-eaters. With half of the league now employing a 3-4, the value of effective NT’s will skyrocket (ie. Wilfork, Pickett, A. Franklin). Scott Pioli will be thrilled to drop Williams into the middle of their 3-4 for the next 10+ years. Beware; Williams was a “one year wonder.”
6. SEA DT Gerald McCoy, Oklahoma – I feel as though this selection will come down to two former Sooners: McCoy and OT Trent Williams. Pete Carroll needs to fill a huge hole at LT, but many of the top draft “experts” project Williams as a better RT in the NFL. For that reason, and the fact that the interior of the ‘Hawks D-line is terrible, McCoy is the pick, and probably a steal at number six.
7. CLE S Eric Berry, Tennessee – Berry is an instant starter on all but a handful of NFL teams. His instincts, playmaking ability and speed make him a valuable asset, regardless of defensive scheme. I am tempted to label Berry as simply a “DB” or even “ATH” due to his versatility. Berry is as disruptive against the run as he is the pass and has the ability to cover RB/TE/WR anywhere on the field. An All-Pro for years to come and a huge value at number seven.
8. OAK OT Trent Williams, Oklahoma – I know, I know. It seems crazy, but Al Davis might actually ignore the “measurables” and draft based on need and value rather than how a prospect performs at the Underwear Olympics. Look for Davis to reach for someone like Maryland OT Bruce Campbell, DE/OLB Jason Pierre-Paul or even OK St. WR Dez Bryant or Clemson RB CJ Spiller. The selection of Williams will allow for some further development (or maybe I should say any development at all) out of Jamarcus “Free Willy” Russell and Darren “Run DMC” McFadden.
9. BUF OT Brian Bulaga, Iowa – Buddy Nix may very well stay true to his board and take the best available player here, which could be Spiller, but I really think he will get a terrific combination of value/need out of Bulaga. Outside of Okung, I see Bulaga as the best LT available in the draft and the Bills are fortunate to land him at number nine. I think the Bills primary goal will be to trade down and acquire additional picks, but if they can’t find a partner, the former Hawkeye will be a fantastic consolation prize.
10. JAX CB Joe Haden, Florida – After improving his forty yard dash time at his pro day, Haden solidified his stock as the top corner available. The former Gator should be a steal at this point, the last of the top-ten selections. Will likely start opposite Rashean Mathis from day one. Any team thinking of contending in the AFC South is going to have to stop the Colts aerial attack first.
11. DEN ILB Rolando McClain, Alabama – It’s easy to see why the Broncos will avoid Dez Bryant, considering the issues Brandon Marshall has caused. Josh McDaniels would like to add a perimeter weapon here, but there isn’t one worth considering (outside of Bryant). The makeover of the Broncos front seven continues with 2010’s most NFL-ready linebacker. McClain will step in and start from day one, as Nick Saban has prepared him to dominate on the inside of the 3-4.
12. MIA S Earl Thomas, Texas – Bill Parcells recognizes the need to upgrade the safety position, especially after releasing Gibril Wilson. Thomas is a playmaking safety who fills well in the run game and has a nose for the ball in pass coverage. Thomas added a little bulk during the pre-draft process in an effort to answer questions about his strength/toughness, but the tape doesn’t lie – Thomas is a monster and will play in several Pro-Bowls.
13. SF OT Anthony Davis, Rutgers – Prior to the combine/pro-days, Davis was considered a close second to Okung when listing 2010’s top OT’s. After skipping out on Rutgers pro-day, questions surround the massive former Scarlet Knight. If he can keep his weight down and his head on straight, you may be looking at the next Walter Jones.
14. SEA RB CJ Spiller, Clemson – While slightly undersized, Spiller possesses a great combination of speed/strength (4.28/19 reps). Spiller is equally adept at Running, catching and returning, making him the top all-around offensive threat in this year’s draft. Seattle is fortunate he falls this far and sprints to the commissioner after the 49ers pass on him.
15. NYG LB Sean Weatherspoon, Missouri – The Giants are in need of a linebacker since they released Antonio Pierce. ‘Spoon can play inside or outside in the 4-3 and is just as good in coverage as he is against the run. He’s not going to get to the quarterback very often, but he will make a few All-Pro teams. The former Tiger will bring toughness, versatility and stability to the middle of the NYG defense
16. TEN DE Derrick Morgan, Georgia Tech – Titans coach Jeff Fisher is thrilled the drafts top DE has fallen this far. Morgan is a polished, relentless edge rusher, who could probably play OLB in a 3-4, if necessary. The Titans front seven needs help, especially after the loss of KVB to the Lions as a free-agent.
17. SF CB Kyle Wilson, Boise St. – Wilson’s strong pro-day solidified him as the second-best corner in this years draft. The former Bronco has the tools to be a great cover corner and doubles as a top-flight return man. “Playmaker” Clements has been largely a disappointment since arriving as the top-paid defensive player ever (at least at the time), and Singletary will add some help in the secondary to assist a terrific front seven.
18. PIT G/OT Mike Iupati, Idaho – I will continue to mock Iupati to the Steelers. He is exactly what Pittsburg needs and more importantly what it wants in an offensive lineman. I could certainly see G/C Maurkice Pouncey from Florida going here too.
19. ATL DE Jason Pierre-Paul, South Florida – I think Pierre-Paul has the highest bust potential of anyone in the draft. Atlanta could certainly fill a need with this selection, but they are without a second round selection (to KC for T. Gonzo.) so if they don’t like what remains on the board, they may look to trade-down.
20. HOU S Taylor Mays, Southern Cal – Probably the second-high bust potential in this years class, the former Trojan could also end up being a steal at number 20. His freakish athleticism makes him a great candidate to land in Houston’s secondary, which lost its top player (Dunta Robinson) to free-agency. Gary Kubiak would ideally land a corner in this slot, but without a player at that position of value, he may look to trade-down.
21. CIN DT Jared Odrick, Penn St. – Even with the re-signing of Tank Johnson, Marvin Lewis knows he needs an upgrade on the interior of the defensive line. The Bengals have athletic DEs and great CBs, strengthening the middle of the defense will improve the teams run defense. A perimeter weapon like WR Dez Bryant or TE Jermaine Gresham may also be considered.
22. NE OLB Brandon Graham, Michigan – It seems like Graham played his entire college career in his opponent’s backfield. He is fast off the snap and plays with an endless motor. Graham’s stock has continued to climb, as he has built upon a great season and Senior Bowl. Expect him to enjoy success in a role similar to that of Elvis Dumervil. Can also play DE in a 4-3 scheme, as well. The former Wolverine is a great football player with unlimited upside due to his versatility.
23. GB CB Kareem Jackson, Alabama – Another former Nick Saban player who is ready to come in and contribute defensively. Jackson is a bit on the small side, but has great speed and strength. The time he spent covering SEC wide-outs has prepared him well for the chance to step into the Green Bay secondary, which was humiliated last season in the NFC Playoffs.
24. PHI DE Carlos Dunlap, Florida – Dunlap has some of the best production, game-film and “measurables” in the draft. He is here for Philly at number 24 because of some off-field issues which have lead to concerns about his maturity and focus. If he will dedicate himself he’ll be a great player, capable of defending the run and the pass equally well. If not, he could be out of the league within a few years.
25. BAL WR Dez Bryant, Oklahoma St. – If not for concerns surrounding his maturity/character, Bryant would have been a top-5 selection. Considering that and the fact that he hasn’t played in a while and has added some pounds, Bryant falls into the Ravens laps. This is a team with some question marks defensively, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Ed Reed, but a value like this is too good to pass up. Joe Flacco is thrilled and Anquan Boldin will have a strong target opposite him. Baltimore has the locker room leadership to handle him and hopefully straighten him out.
26. AZ OLB Sergio Kindle, Texas - I continue to read that Miami is enamored with Kindle, but I refuse to think he will be drafted at number 12. Ken Wisenhunt is thrilled the super-athletic former Longhorn is available, as he will combine with the old, overrated Joey Porter to pressure Cardinal opponents off the edge. OT Charles Brown is also an option here, as is G/C Maurkice Pouncey.
27. DAL G/C Maurkice Pouncey, Florida – Due to his strength, versatility and high football IQ, the former Gator is being compared to NYJ C Nick Mangold. One of the best Center prospects to come along in a while, Pouncey could go as high as number 18 (Pitt). Considered a very safe pick.
28. SD RB Ryan Matthews, Fresno St. – Outside of Spiller, Matthews is the most balanced back in this class. His combination of size/speed is something the Bolts backfield needs, after releasing Tomlinson. Will be a more than adequate compliment to Sproles behind Philip Rivers.
29. NYJ OLB Jerry Hughes, TCU – Another Elvis Dumervil-type, Hughes is a slightly smaller version of Brandon Graham. His high motor and 4.63 speed will allow him to come off the edge for Rex Ryan’s defensive unit. Rushing the passer is an area the Jets must improve if they plan to stay among the league’s elite defenses.
30. MIN DT Brian Price, UCLA – The Williams Wall is facing possible suspensions, and Pat Williams considers retirement after every season. Price will provide depth until given the chance to collapse the pocket on a full-time basis after Pat walks away.
31. IND OT Charles Brown, Southern Cal – Brown is a technically-sound, finesse tackle who struggles at times with power rushers. He would, however, be an upgrade along the offensive front for the Colts, whose offensive line Bill Polian called out after the Super Bowl.
32. NO DE Everson Griffen, Southern Cal – After releasing Charles Grant, the Saints are in need of someone who can bring heat off the edge. Griffen can do just that, and has the athleticism to play in space, something Gregg Williams will ask him to do in zone-blitz packages. If he can remain motivated, the former Trojan can dominate.
Round Two
33. STL WR Arrelious Benn, Illinois – The Rams could go in a number of directions here, and I suspect they will be getting a lot of calls before Friday’s second round starts from teams looking to grab someone they covet. In this case, however, I don’t think the Rams can pass up taking a weapon for their young signal caller (Bradford). This pick could be Benn or WR Golden Tate, neither selection would surprise me.
34. DET WR Golden Tate, Notre Dame – I think Tate and Benn will fall out of the first round but will be targeted early in round two by a number of teams. Here, though, with the Rams and Lions both having young QBs and needing to add weapons for them, these two talented WRs go off the board with the first two picks.
35. TB CB Devin McCourty, Rutgers – Ronde Barber is old and his play has been in decline. McCourty has first round talent and potential but a lack of consistency leads to a slide out of the first round. Tampa is thrilled he’s available as he fills a need and is a great value at number 35.
36. KC TE Jermaine Gresham, Oklahoma – The Chiefs have an opportunity to get the draft’s premier TE in Gresham, and are elated he’s available at number 36. After dealing Tony Gonzalez to ATL last year, the Chiefs can get another 12-15 year starter in the former Sooner.
37. WSH OT Bruce Campbell, Maryland – A freakish athlete, Campbell’s production never lived up to him immense hype and “measurables.” If he gets past the Raiders, who have the eighth pick, but who knows for how long, he could tumble into the second frame.
38. CLV QB Colt McCoy, Texas – All Colt McCoy does: win. The former Longhorn leaves Mack Brown’s program as major college football’s all-time wins leader. His ability to run the west coast offense along with his mobility have the Dog pound salivating.
39. OAK WR DeMaryius Thomas, Georgia Tech – Al Davis can’t go back-to-back picks without falling in love with some freakish athlete. Thomas fits that bill, and should make life easier for whichever QB is throwing the rock for Raider Nation next year.
40. SD NT Terrence Cody, Alabama – The key to the Charlie Whitehurst deal with Seattle was to get in front of the Bills in the second round to get Mt. Cody. AJ Smith is hoping the Chiefs take Dan Williams in the first so they won’t target Cody with the 36th selection.
41. BUF NT Cam Thomas, UNC – The Bills are undoubtedly hoping Cody falls here, but the chances of that occurring are slim. Thomas has as much ability as any NT in this draft and could fill a massive hole in the middle of the Bills’ new 3-4 scheme. Dexter McCluster will reportedly get some consideration at this spot.
42. TB LB Daryl Washington, TCU – Washington will step right into the starting lineup for a Bucs front seven that was one of the worst in the entire NFL last season. A high motor player, the former Horned Frog will bring an identity to a linebacking corp that needs one.
43. MIA RB Jahvid Best, Cal – Best is an exceptional talent with game-breaking ability. Some durability concerns surround his draft stock, though, so an ideal situation would be going to a team where he can share the load. With Ricky Williams getting up there in age and RFA Ronnie Brown’s recent arrest, the time is right for the ‘Fins to bring some youth to their backfield.
44. NE CB Patrick Robinson, Florida St. – With their first of three picks in the second stanza, the Pats get Robinson, a corner with first round ability but lacks consistency in his game. New England’s secondary needs some work and adding a player of Robinson’s caliber cannot be passed-up.
45. DEN WR Damian Williams, Southern Cal – After passing on Dez Bryant in the first round, Denver must come back with a perimeter weapon in the second round. With their top WR unhappy and available in trade and TE Tony Scheffler seeking a new contract, McDaniels must find playmakers for Orton/Quinn.
46. NYG DE Ricky Sapp, Clemson – An amazing athlete, Sapp may come off the board earlier than this, but Coughlin is glad he’s available at this spot. Another player to provide pressure on opposition QBs.
47. NE TE Rob Gronkowski, Arizona – At 6’6”, 265 lbs. Gronkowski ran a 4.65 forty yard dash at his pro-day. An improving blocker, Gronkowski has the pass-catching skills of Jason Witten and assuming his back checks out, he could be drafted higher than this. According to the official numbers, Gronkowski is bigger, stronger and faster than Jermaine Gresham.
48. CAR OLB Dekota Watson, Florida St. – After a strong combine and stronger pro day, Watson is quickly rising up the draft boards and may even be gone by the time pick number 48 rolls around. If not, the Panthers are thrilled he’s available because their defense needs playmakers on the edge, especially considering the loss of Julius Peppers via free agency.
49. SF RB Ben Tate, Auburn – Although Glen Cofee filled in admirably when Frank Gore went down with injury, he averaged below 4.0/carry. Tate is a fast, powerful runner who has the ability to return kicks as well.
50. KC OLB Jason Worilds, Virginia Tech – The Chiefs need to upgrade their pass rush. After getting the anchor for their 3-4 in round one, they get an edge rusher with their second selection of the second round.
51. HOU RB Jonathan Dwyer, Georgia Tech – Everyone knows the Texans are not convinced Steve Slaton can carry the load as a primary ball carrier in the NFL. In Dwyer, Houston gets a powerful runner with good straight-line speed who likes going north and south.
52. PIT CB Perrish Cox, Oklahoma St. – There are more corners in this draft that have first round ability but lack the consistency to warrant a high selection. The trend continues here with the former Cowboy. Cox has the size and speed, if Tomlin can get him to reach his potential, the Steelers will have stolen him at the 52nd pick.
53. NE WR Brandon LaFell, LSU – After re-stocking the shelves on the defensive side of the ball, the Pats use their final pick of the second stanza on the big, fluid, sure-handed former Tiger. LaFell isn’t very fast, but he’s a big, reliable target.
54. CIN TE Aaron Hernandez, Florida – Hernandez isn’t much of a run-blocker, but that’s not why the Bengals want him. Carson Palmer needs to return to his pre-elbow surgery form and a solid target in the middle of the field helps make that possible.
55. PHI RB Dexter McCluster, Mississippi – Although the Eagles are pleased with the development of LeSean McCoy, they lost Brian Westbrook. Assuming Kevin Kolb starts the season under center, they’re going to want some reinforcements in the backfield. Mike Bell is a nice addition but doesn’t present nearly the match up problems the speedy former Rebel does. McCluster can also help in the return game.
56. GB OLB Navorro Bowman, Penn St. – The Pack plugged a rookie into one starting OLB spot last season, and after losing Aaron Kampman, they will try doing the same thing this season. The reconstruction of the Packers defense continues with the addition of the athletic former Lion.
57. BAL DE/DT Alex Carrington, Arkansas St. – Carrington is a small school prospect that is flying up the draft boards. After strong showings throughout the pre-draft process, the versatile defensive lineman may even get a look before this spot.
58. AZ OT Vladimir Ducasse, Massachusetts – With the loss of Mike Gandy, the Cards are in need of help along the offensive line. If Leinart wins the job and Brown moves to the LT position, Ducasse could be the blind-side protector in the dessert from day one.
59. DAL S Nate Allen, South Florida – Allen is the play-making safety the Cowboys have been searching for. He plays the pass and run equally well and shows he knows how to make big plays in the passing game. Allen could be drafted soon that this, but Dallas is thrill to have him available here.
60. SEA OT Jared Veldheer, Hillsdale – Upgrading along the offensive line is a priority coming into draft day, but value trumped need in the first round. Here, however, the Seahawks get both. Veldheer appears ready to make the jump to the NFL, and his transition will be eased by his mean streak.
61. NYJ NT Linval Joseph, East Carolina – Another Big, Space-eating NT, someone will probably reach for Joseph as you see here, because of the premium placed on his position. Kris Jenkins replacement is on-board.
62. MIN C JD Walton, Baylor – The C/RG positions struggled for the Vikings last year. Walton is the second best center in this class and can play guard if needed.
63. IND WR Mardy Gilyard, Cincinnati – Gilyard may be a luxury pick here, but he represents great value. With the uncertainty surrounding Anthony Gonzalez, the Colts bring in an exciting player that can help in the return game while learning how to be a pro from Reggie Wayne and Peyton Manning.
64. NO DE/DT Geno Atkins, Georgia – After beating up on Mike Iupati during the Senior Bowl week, Atkins raised some eyebrows with an impressive 4.75 forty yard dash. At 6’1” and just shy of 300 lbs, Atkins would fit well into what Gregg Williams does defensively.
knuckles updated first round mock
1. Rams - Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma
2. Lions - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
3. Bucs - Ndamukong Suh, 4-3 DT, Nebraska
4. 'Skins - Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
5. Chiefs - Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
6. Seahawks - C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
7. Browns - Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
8. Raiders - Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
9. Bills - Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
10. Jags - Gerald McCoy, 4-3 DT, Oklahoma
11. Broncos - Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
12. Dolphins - Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
13. Niners - Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
14. Seahawks - Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
15. Giants - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
16. Titans - Dan Williams, 3-4 NT, Tennessee
17. Niners - Joe Haden, CB, Florida
18. Steelers - Mike Iupati, OT/G, Idaho
19. Falcons - Brandon Graham, OLB, Michigan
20. Texans - Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
21. Bengals - Taylor Mays, S, Southern Cal
22. Pats - Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri
23. Pack - Earl Thomas, S, Texas
24. Eagles - Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
25. Ravens - Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
26. Cards - Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
27. 'Boys - Charles Brown, OT, Southern Cal
28. Bolts - Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno State
29. Jets - Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
30. Vikings - Brian Price, DT, UCLA
31. Colts - Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida
32. Saints - Everson Griffen, DE, Southern Cal
2. Lions - Russell Okung, OT, Oklahoma State
3. Bucs - Ndamukong Suh, 4-3 DT, Nebraska
4. 'Skins - Trent Williams, OT, Oklahoma
5. Chiefs - Eric Berry, S, Tennessee
6. Seahawks - C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson
7. Browns - Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame
8. Raiders - Bruce Campbell, OT, Maryland
9. Bills - Bryan Bulaga, OT, Iowa
10. Jags - Gerald McCoy, 4-3 DT, Oklahoma
11. Broncos - Rolando McClain, ILB, Alabama
12. Dolphins - Sergio Kindle, OLB, Texas
13. Niners - Anthony Davis, OT, Rutgers
14. Seahawks - Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech
15. Giants - Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida
16. Titans - Dan Williams, 3-4 NT, Tennessee
17. Niners - Joe Haden, CB, Florida
18. Steelers - Mike Iupati, OT/G, Idaho
19. Falcons - Brandon Graham, OLB, Michigan
20. Texans - Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State
21. Bengals - Taylor Mays, S, Southern Cal
22. Pats - Sean Weatherspoon, OLB, Missouri
23. Pack - Earl Thomas, S, Texas
24. Eagles - Jared Odrick, DT, Penn State
25. Ravens - Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State
26. Cards - Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma
27. 'Boys - Charles Brown, OT, Southern Cal
28. Bolts - Ryan Matthews, RB, Fresno State
29. Jets - Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida
30. Vikings - Brian Price, DT, UCLA
31. Colts - Maurkice Pouncey, C/G, Florida
32. Saints - Everson Griffen, DE, Southern Cal
Sunday, March 28, 2010
updates...
i will be posting a three round mock monday 3/29 as well as predictions from myself and knuckles for the upcoming MLB season. check back soon...
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